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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-60 min | 30-90 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |