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| Criterion |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 20-35 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 1-5 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision |
Tagsno overlap | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery |