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| Criterion |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 60-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |