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Criterion
ChatOps workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
ChatOps
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For operational work in a distributed team, the method links communication with direct system control. It records decisions right where the signal, the context, and the execution come together.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
Ongoing5-20 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-203-206-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Chat Transcript, Action Log, AutomationsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
CollaborationEngineeringIncident
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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