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Criterion
ChatOps workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
ChatOps
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
For operational work in a distributed team, the method links communication with direct system control. It records decisions right where the signal, the context, and the execution come together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
Ongoing45-90 min5-20 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-202-83-201-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Chat Transcript, Action Log, AutomationsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
CollaborationEngineeringIncident
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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