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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-120 min1-4 h or multiple rounds5-20 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-64-12 Experten3-203-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
RiskRoot causeSafety
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