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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min10-30 min je Item2-6 h5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-61-83-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
RiskRoot causeSafety
EstimationEffortRisk
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