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Criterion
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Purposedifferent
A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h15-60 min15-45 min20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-91-81-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events
Tagsno overlap
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
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