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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A paper tomato timer connects a focus task, short breaks and a work record.
Operations
Pomodoro Technique
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For easily distracted solo work, the method sets clear time boundaries for concentrated work. It protects attention when large tasks would otherwise fall apart into small avoidance moves.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min25 min Zyklen20–45 min1-2 h Setup, laufend
Participantsdifferent
2-81Small cross-functional group1
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFocus Sessions, Task Progress, Interruption NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAction Lists, Project List, Review Routine
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
FocusTime managementProductivityExecution
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
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