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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 h Setup, laufend5-20 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-82-63-202-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
EstimationEffortRisk
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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