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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of the Morphological Analysis working structure.
Innovation
Morphological Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper matrix with seven SCAMPER rows, operator prompts and variations for a course portal.
Innovation
SCAMPER
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a search for solutions with many degrees of freedom, a grid emerges for systematic combinations. The method separates features, variants, and exclusion criteria, so the space gets explored deliberately.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For an existing solution under pressure to change, the method deliberately opens space for systematic variants. It directs attention to rebuilding, combining, and repurposing rather than only new basic ideas. This produces concrete evolution paths for products, offerings, or workflows.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-3 h20–45 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-8Small cross-functional group2-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanMorphological Box, Concept Combinations, Idea ShortlistRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logSCAMPER Idea List, Concept Shortlist, Variation Notes
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
IdeationInnovationCreativity
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
BrainstormingIdeationCreativityReframingInnovation
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