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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 minAs needed1-3 h30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-152-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesCause Tree, Evidence Notes, CountermeasuresFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation Backlog
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
IncidentOperationsReliability
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
Root causeQualityOperations
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