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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-86-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
GrowthRetentionConversion
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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