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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 5-20 min | 30-60 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-20 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |