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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 5-20 min | 90-180 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-20 | 3-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | EstimationEffortRisk | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | AgileDiscoveryDelivery |