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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 h5-20 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-201-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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