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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A paper-based illustration representing Brainstorming with its core stages and visible working result.
Innovation
Brainstorming
Paper illustration of the Lotus Blossom working structure.
Innovation
Lotus Blossom
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a team faces an open question with many obvious directions, the method first creates breadth instead of premature commitment. It separates idea flow from evaluation and makes lines of thought visible, creating a pool for selection and further development.When a central question feels too large, the method breaks it into neighboring topic fields with their own depth of ideation. It holds structure and openness at the same time, so adjacent perspectives don't get lost. This grows an idea space out of a core problem.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 Wochen30-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten4-123-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesIdea pool, Theme clusters, ShortlistLotus Diagram, Idea Themes, Shortlist
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
BrainstormingIdeationCreativityWorkshopDivergence
BrainstormingIdeationCreativityDivergenceWorkshop
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