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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Affinity Diagramming
UX Research
Affinity Diagramming
Empathy Mapping
UX Research
Empathy Mapping
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When research notes, feedback, or observations sit unconnected side by side, affinity diagramming sorts the raw material into solid themes. Many individual points turn into patterns that make decisions and opportunities clearer.When a lot is assumed about a target group but little is seen jointly, empathy mapping makes knowledge and gaps directly comparable. The picture also shows which assumptions hold up and where evidence is missing.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 Wochen45–90 min30–60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten3-104-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesTheme clusters, Insight statements, Opportunity areasEmpathy Map, Assumptions List, Research Gaps
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
SynthesisQualitativeRoot cause
SynthesisQualitativeWorkshop
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