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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 Wochen15-30 min1-6 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten2-64-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
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