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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-60 min1-4 Wochen30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-61-61-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCounter Metric List, Guardrail DefinitionsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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