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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-6 h30-60 min1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-102-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeQualityOperations
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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