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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration showing three sorted card stacks and an open question about a possible group.
UX Research
Card Sorting
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When content only makes sense internally and users can't find the structure again, card sorting exposes their mental order. Terms, groups, and naming are then aligned with the target group's expectations.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min20-45 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-8Based on research question6-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanContent groups, Label set, IA hypothesesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Information architectureNavigationStructure
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ChangeDecisionStrategy
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