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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min45-90 min20-35 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-82-81-52-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesTest Card with a pre-set thresholdPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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