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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Shape-first Modeling with its method-specific working model.
Knowledge Modeling
Shape-First Modeling
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Shape-First Modeling defines data quality through shapes before implementation or integration frays at the edges. The approach fits when validation and data contracts should be part of the design from the start.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 minHalber Tag pro Domain Slice20-35 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-41-52-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSHACL or ShEx Shapes, Validation Reports, Data Contracts, Shape DocumentationTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Knowledge graphValidationSemantic
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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