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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min5-20 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration25-40 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-202-61-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportLearning Card with evidence and next action
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
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