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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min30-60 min1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-82-6Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCounter Metric List, Guardrail DefinitionsClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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