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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen5-20 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-63-20Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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