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Criterion
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
20-45 min15-45 min45-90 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
3-121-82-53-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Lessons learned, Action items, Event summaryPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
LearningOperationsImprovement
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
EstimationEffortRisk
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