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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-81-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
ForecastingFlowDelivery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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