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| Criterion |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 5-20 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-8 | 3-20 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | WasteLeanProcess improvement | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationEffortRisk | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |