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Criterion
Visual Management workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Visual Management
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
With high tempo and many parallel topics, the method makes status, deviations, and priorities visible at a glance. It reduces search effort and prevents what matters from getting lost in daily work.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
Ongoing10-30 min je Itemlaufend30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
1-201-82-121-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Visual Board, Status Indicators, Exception CuesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
SignalsOperationsVisual management
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationForecastingFlow
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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