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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Growth North Star Metric |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Growth Hooked Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h | 5-20 min | Multiple workshops over several weeks |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | North Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadence | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention | EstimationEffortRisk | GrowthBehaviorRetention |