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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |  Operations Bottleneck Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. | For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries | Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions | FlowMeasurementConstraints |