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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth North Star Metric |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | North Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadence | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | GrowthRetentionConversion | GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |