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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |