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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Balanced Scorecard |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Balanced Scorecard translates strategy into a few interconnected perspectives and metrics. It holds impact, steering, and learning together in daily work instead of narrowing strategy down to financial figures. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Halber Tag bis mehrere Wochen | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Balanced Scorecard, Strategic Measures, Initiative Map | KPI Tree, Owner List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyMetricsExecution | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |