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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |