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Criterion
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down5-20 min30-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-4 pro Pitch3-202-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
EstimationEffortRisk
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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