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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage15-45 min45-90 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
4-121-82-83-20
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
EstimationEffortRisk
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