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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Agile Ideal Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 5-20 min | 1-3 h | 15-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-20 | 3-8 | 2-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | EstimationEffortRisk | FailureResilienceRisk | EstimationEffortAgile |