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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Agile Bucket System |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 30-90 min | 5-20 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-12 | 3-20 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | EstimationEffortRisk | FailureResilienceRisk |