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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Operations Bottleneck Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | FlowMeasurementConstraints | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |