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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Operations Bottleneck Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-60 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 2-6 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | EstimationExpertsForecasting | FlowMeasurementConstraints |