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Selected:NoEstimatesATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method)Monte Carlo ForecastingDot Estimation
| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Architecture ATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method) |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | ATAM helps teams weigh architecture decisions when quality goals compete. The team considers business goals, stakeholder expectations, and technical decisions together. The evaluation shows which risks need further investigation. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | Several meetings plus preparation and analysis; total effort depends on scope | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | Evaluation team, architects, and relevant stakeholders | 1-8 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Prioritized quality scenarios in a utility tree, Architecture risks with reasoning and assumptions, Sensitivity and trade-off points, Findings report with open investigations | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ArchitectureQualityRiskTradeoffsStakeholders | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationEffortRisk |