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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
A paper-based illustration representing Pirate Metrics (AARRR) with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
Pirate Metrics AARRR
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend45-90 min1-2 h Setup, laufend1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-122-82-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesAARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlogExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
GrowthMetricsExperiments
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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