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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile WSJF |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | laufend | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 2-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | EstimationForecastingFlow | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |