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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile WSJF |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 3-12 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | ChangeDecisionStrategy | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |