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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Agile WSJF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | 90-180 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization |