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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Shape Up |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down | 45-120 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-4 pro Pitch | 2-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy | WasteLeanProcess improvement | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |