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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Engineering Kanban |  Delivery Shape Up |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Ongoing | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-4 pro Pitch | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | FlowVisual managementDelivery | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |